Introduction
Investment risk is defined as
exposure to the possibility of loss. This means that future returns may
not match the returns that were expected at the time of investment. According
to investment theory investments with higher levels of risk should have
higher expected returns. However, these higher expected returns are also
associated with a higher probability that an investor will suffer a loss.
Every investor has a unique tolerance for risk and determining an investor's
level of risk tolerance is not always an easy process.
Determining an investor's risk profile,
however, is an important first step in developing an investment plan. Both
an investor's ability to tolerate risk and their perceptions of risk will
change over time. When in doubt, assume you have a low tolerance for risk
when you first start investing. You can always adjust your level upward
if you need to. This may help you prevent a loss on a high risk investment
that is not appropriate for your level of risk tolerance.
Assessing investor risk tolerance is more art than science. The following
survey and those that can be accessed on the related sites will help you
gain a perspective on your level of risk tolerance. There are no right or
wrong answers to the questions, and you may find the results do not match
your perceptions on your ability to assume risk.
This survey was developed by two university personal finance professors,
Dr. Ruth Lytton at Virginia Tech and Dr. John Grable at Kansas State University.
Mike Shinn for www.fizone.com
May 2003
Questions 1 - 4
1. In general, how would your best friend describe you
as a risk taker?
A real risk avoider
Cautious
2. You are on a TV game show and can choose one of the
following.
Which would you take?
3. You have just finished saving for a "once-in-a-lifetime"
vacation.
Three weeks before you plan to leave, you lose your job. You would:
4. Given the best- and worst-case returns of the four
investment choices below, which would you prefer?
Questions 5 - 8
5. Some experts are predicting prices of assets such
as gold, jewels, collectibles, and real estate (hard assets) to increase
in value; bond prices may fall, however, experts tend to agree that government
bonds are relatively safe. Most of your investment assets are now in high-interest
government bonds. What would you do?
Question 6. how comfortable are you investing in stocks
or stock mutual funds?
7. If you had to invest $20,000, which investment choice
would you find most appealing?
8. Your trusted friend, an experienced geologist, is putting
together a group of investors to fund an exploratory gold mining venture.
The venture could pay back 50 to 100 times the investment if successful.
If the mine is a bust, the entire investment is worthless. Your friend estimates
a 20% chance of success. If you had the money, how much would you invest?
Questions 9 - 13
9. If you unexpectedly received $20,000 to invest, what
would you do?
10. Suppose a relative left you an inheritance of $100,000,
stipulating in the will that you invest ALL the money in ONE of the following
choices. Which one would you select?
11. In addition to whatever you own, you have been given
$1,000 to invest.
You are now asked to choose between two investment possibilities:
12. In addition to whatever you own, you have been given
$2,000 to invest.
You are now asked to choose between two investment possibilities:
13. When you think of the word "risk", which
of the following words comes to mind first?
Investment Risk Tolerance Results
Your Score: 0
You have a low tolerance for risk.
The following questions were not answered: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 and 13.
| 0-18 |
Low tolerance for risk |
| 19-22 |
Below-average tolerance for risk |
| 23-28 |
Average/moderate tolerance for risk |
| 29-32 |
Above-average tolerance for risk |
| 33-47 |
High tolerance for risk |
Dr. Ruth Lytton and Dr. John Grable,
the professors that developed this questionnaire, have done extensive
research in trying to quantify investor risk tolerance. In addition to
the general risk assessment provided by this survey they have found that
people with higher levels of income, education, and knowledge of personal
finance have more risk tolerance. Your investment time horizon is also
a factor, and people who can invest for a longer time period can generally
assume more risk than those investing for shorter periods. It has also
been found that gender is a minor factor in explaining risk tolerance
with women having a slightly higher tolerance for risk than men do. The
mutual fund tutorial provides additional information on appropriate investments
based on some of these risk factors.